In search of the black swans
This is how discovery works: returns on research investment do not arrive steadily and predictably, but erratically and unpredictably, in a manner akin to intellectual earthquakes. Indeed, this idea seems to be more than merely qualitative. Data on human innovation, whether in basic science or technology or business, show that developments emerge from an erratic process with wild unpredictability. Full Story »
Posted by Kaizar Campwala



my sense is that we are at that same place for the same reasons in many areas, not only scientific discoveries, in education, in sociology, in politics and government.