What is expert advice worth on the stock market?

How seriously should you take their forecasts? Does an understanding of economics and the capital market give you tools to peer into the future?

A paper by psychology professors Gustaf Torngren and Henry Montgomery of Stockholm University - "Worse Than Chance? Performance and Confidence among Professionals and Laypeople in the Stock Market" - demonstrates that Lao Tzu nailed it on the head. Full Story »

Posted by Derek Hawkins
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Posted by: Posted by Derek Hawkins - Nov 12, 2009 - 12:02 AM PST
Content Type: Article
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Edited by: Derek Hawkins - Nov 12, 2009 - 12:09 AM PST

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Michael Todd
3.6
by Michael Todd - Nov. 15, 2009

I quibble with the point of the exercise -- the unwarranted confidence angle -- was slow in surfacing, but I still recommedn this article to all investors (and by extension to all who deal with expert prognostication) anbout trusting anyone's skills implicitly.

See Full Review » (11 answers)
Derek Hawkins
3.3
by Derek Hawkins - Nov. 12, 2009
See Full Review » (10 answers)
Gordon Townsend
5.0
by Gordon Townsend - Nov. 12, 2009

Send this to Obama and Bernake and then ask for a bonus like the ones they gave the "banks" that could n;t fail.

See Full Review » (4 answers)

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