This was something of a partly cloudy day for both candidates. The national polls generally contained reasonable news for Barack Obama, who advanced in four tracking polls to McCain's three (Rasmussen was flat). In addition, Obama pulled strong numbers from the weekly editions of the GQR/Democracy Corps and Economist/YouGov polls.
On balance, we see this election as being very flat, but that is incrementally better news for McCain than yesterday's ...
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FiveThirtyEight provides yet another summary of election polling data, which goes deeper than other observers, thanks to their advanced statistical analysis tools. Informative, factual, well-sourced, with good context to explain what these numbers mean and why they matter .
Polls can be confusing. So it's nice to have somewhere to go where they explain why one may be more less reliable, and why there might be such a big gap between different polls in the same state. For example, look at the 7-point spread between the two in Georgia. It will be interesting to see how accurate they are.
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