Fears of dollar collapse as Saudis take fright

Saudi Arabia has refused to cut interest rates in lockstep with the US Federal Reserve for the first time, signalling that the oil-rich Gulf kingdom is preparing to break the dollar currency peg in a move that risks setting off a stampede out of the dollar across the Middle East.

There is now a growing danger that global investors will start to shun the US bond markets. The latest US government data on foreign holdings released this week show a collapse in purchases of US bonds from $97bn to just $19bn in July, with outright net sales of US Treasuries.

The danger is that this could now accelerate as the yield gap between the United States and the rest of the world narrows rapidly, leaving America starved of foreign capital ... Full Story »

Posted by Kaizar Campwala

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Review

Fran Meaney
2.3
by Fran Meaney - Oct. 1, 2008

The Federal Reserve Board is dealing with a complicated situation and so far is handling it skillfully. The dollar decline is necessary to right world current account imbalances. It's actually working quite well. The U.S. current accout deficit has fallen 20% in the past year or so and is headed towards a reasonable level of about 3% deficit; it's now just above 5, down from almost 7, which many called unsustainable. Inflation in the U.S. has been subdued and as the adjustment takes place it will probably rise a litte. The Saudis can't afford to walk away from the dollar; their defense depends upon the U.S. They will muddle through just fine. They may loosen the peg a little, but their relationship to the dollar will remain close and strong.

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