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via Google News (Jobs), FiveThirtyEight
It looks as though Barack Obama may already be deriving some political benefit from the release of last week’s favorable jobs report. Gallup’s daily tracking of Mr. ...
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via FiveThirtyEight
The unpredictability of the Republican race so far makes a good case for betting on Rick Santorum, who is given just a 13 percent chance of winning the G.O.P. presidential ...
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via Mike Allen (Politico), Dave Winer, Real Clear Politics, FiveThirtyEight
Whatever your perspective on how likely Mitt Romney was to lose the Republican nomination race prior to Tuesday evening, it should be acknowledged that he had about the worst ...
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via FiveThirtyEight, Memeorandum
The results will provide an important test of how robust Mitt Romney's coalition is on less than favorable terrain and could bolster the campaign of Rick Santorum.
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via FiveThirtyEight
A look at the constituencies that make up the state's Republican electorate and where they live.
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via FiveThirtyEight
Republicans today are holding caucuses in Colorado and Minnesota and a primary in Missouri. We'll be bringing you data-driven analysis, historical perspective and results as ...
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via FiveThirtyEight
Minnesota has a reputation as a liberal bastion, the only state that voted for Walter Mondale over Ronald Reagan in 1984. But that reputation obscures the fact that ...
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via FiveThirtyEight
Now that Nevada has finally finished counting ballots, there are three interesting data-driven takeaways from the state.
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via FiveThirtyEight
If Mr. Romney loses the nomination, it is likely to be because of the one region that has yet to give him a victory: the Midwest.
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via FiveThirtyEight
The number of polls conducted ahead of a primary or caucus is often a good indication of the amount of attention it is receiving from the public and the news media. By that ...
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via FiveThirtyEight
The Republican nominating train is in new terrain: the West. Saturday’s caucus in Nevada will unfold against mountains and deserts, a far different backdrop from the first ...
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via FiveThirtyEight
FiveThirtyEight’s mission is to help New York Times readers cut through the clutter of this data-rich world. The blog is devoted to rigorous analysis of politics, polling, ...
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via Google News (Jobs), FiveThirtyEight
The unemployment report on Friday will give us the most tangible read to date on how the economy is performing in 2012. It might also represent the most important number yet ...
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via FiveThirtyEight
In this edition: jobs, Republican turnout, intraparty boxing and Reagan deification. Reactions Early Friday morning, FiveThirtyEight analyzed past employment data and came up ...
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via Ana Marie Cox, FiveThirtyEight
Drawing from the Florida results and history, five different scenarios for the rest of the Republican race.
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via FiveThirtyEight
In the first three early-voting states, Republican turnout was up from 2008 — just slightly in Iowa and New Hampshire, but significantly in South Carolina, where it jumped ...
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via Andy Carvin, FiveThirtyEight
January 31, 2012, 6:15 pm By NATE SILVER Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s live blog of Florida’s Republican primary. Polls will close at 7 P.M. (8 P.M. Eastern for the western ...
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via FiveThirtyEight
There has been a diversity of polling results in Florida -- more so than in the three earlier nominating contests -- even among surveys conducted at the same time.
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via FiveThirtyEight
One of the maxims of past nomination campaigns is that a candidate should expect to receive a bounce in the polls after winning a major primary or caucus — particularly if ...
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via FiveThirtyEight
All the polls point to Mitt Romney winning the Florida primary, but polls can get it wrong, even when they agree.
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via FiveThirtyEight
New polls suggest the tough road ahead for Mr. Gingrich in Florida.
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via FiveThirtyEight
An updated look at PolitiFact's report cards of the Republican presidential candidates.
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via FiveThirtyEight
We’re exactly one week away from the Florida primary, which looks as though it could be pivotal in the Republican nomination campaign. Let me give you a sense of what I’m ...
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via Ana Marie Cox, FiveThirtyEight
Two new polls suggest that Newt Gingrich now holds a lead over Mitt Romney in Florida.
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via FiveThirtyEight
In Monday night’s debate in Tampa, Fla., Newt Gingrich, the former House speaker, mentioned Ronald Reagan just four words into his first answer of the night . It was the ...
